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Hi there, i finally decided to post some picks here and do it seriously. I started a blogabet account 2 years ago or so. But did not take it seriously.
Now i will., will not post many picks just picks where I am sure i have more knowledge than the market. So picks will be Dutch eredivisie/ Jupiler league. Additionally i will add picks of teams I see at work weekly like barcelona, real madrid, bayern munchen etc...The big teams if i find value.
I will bet mostly pinnacle although I bet SBObet, betfair way more often. But since blogabet does automatically verify betfair picks and SBObet is not offered, I am chosing the next best thing. Pinnacle offers big limits, good price and dont limit your action. So no bogus bookies like interwetten who limit your activity after two won bets
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Pick: Inter (+0.5) Result: Pending Stake: 4/10 Odds: 2.03
Bookmaker: PINNACLE vCash: No
Posted: Yesterday, 11:33
I really wonder why people are betting marseille @2.1. For me this clearly shows people blindly follow results. Inter not doing so good in the league. Everyone knows it so people reason if they lose against novara and bologna, marseille should win. it does not work like that. Marseille is decent team nothing special. They are also way behind in the league.
Inter has shown us decent results in away games in europe. Sure marseille is a small favorite but nowhere near the level of what they are now.
For me clear, fade the public.
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-8
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Pick: Under 3.5 Result: 4-1 Stake: 8/10 Odds: 1.62
Bookmaker: PINNACLE vCash: No
Posted: Feb 19, 2012, 07:13
NEC is not a bad team. There problem is the fact they are pretty inefficient in front of goal. However, they dont concede many.
ajax is in a very difficult part of the season because of all the injuries. Today will be difficult as well. Will be a hard fight.
Under is the call
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-7
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Pick: Heerenveen (-1.5) Result: 1-0 Stake: 7/10 Odds: 1.86
Bookmaker: PINNACLE vCash: No
Posted: Feb 17, 2012, 04:37
Already got them yesterday @2.01. Heerenveen is in good form and plan attractive football. The primary reason for this bet is NAC> They are just plain awfull. Losing scoring one goal in 4 matches after the winterbreak getting one point against lower ranked de graafschap. Their level of play is just bad and they are a candidate for relegation.
So easy pick on heerenveen
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+18.6
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Pick: Man Utd (-1) Result: 0-2 Stake: 10/10 Odds: 2.86
Bookmaker: PINNACLE vCash: No
Posted: Feb 16, 2012, 11:57
Ajax misses a lot of players and it not in good form. Manu playing strongest 11.
Should be a comfortable win for manu
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-7
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Pick: Over 2.75 Result: 0-1 Stake: 7/10 Odds: 1.87
Bookmaker: PINNACLE vCash: No
Posted: Feb 12, 2012, 07:15
Big odds. Heerenveen is an offensive power. Very fast wingers and a strong stiker. Sometimes football is not that difficult. Defence of heerenveen is very vulnerable.
RKC at home wants to attack. Started the 2nd half of the season very good but groningen and VVV are pretty bad at the moment. Still at home they should be able to score.
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Pick: Graafschap (+3) Result: 4-1 Stake: 4/10 Odds: 1.87
Bookmaker: PINNACLE vCash: No
Posted: Feb 12, 2012, 06:42
Hcp is too big on psv. PSV has a great offense but it seems the line up is not great. Matavz is a great finisher however he does not get many balls. Mertens and labyad almost never cross the ball since they always dribble to the middle. Toivonen is a not a real playmaker although he plays that position. The result is psv crowding the middle with a striker who is useless they way the wingers play,
In defence psv is leaky. I would be surprised de graafschap to score at least one. Dont see psv easily scoring 4/5 so de graafschap+3 seems fine.
No big stakes since de graafschap is not great and psv has great potential
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+4.32
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Pick: Den Haag (+0.5) Result: 1-1 Stake: 4/10 Odds: 2.08
Bookmaker: Canbet vCash: No
Posted: Feb 12, 2012, 05:24
Normally i always take pinnacle but i have odds betfair at 2.11 after commission. This one comes close
Awnyway utrecht is being overrated after win against ajax. Odds should be well over 2. utrecht is pretty weak. ADO is not strong either byt market favors utrecht a lot after utrecht win and big loss ado against AZ.
FPur value imo
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+8.1
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Pick: Under 3 Result: 1-1 Stake: 9/10 Odds: 1.90
Bookmaker: PINNACLE vCash: No
Posted: Feb 12, 2012, 05:18
These teams arent scoring machines. Utrecht won against ajax but this means utrecht get overrated. utrecht plays pretty bad and dont create many chances. The same can be said for ADO. Expect a low scoring match. o/u is completely set wrong
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-7
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Pick: Twente (-1.5) Result: 2-3 Stake: 7/10 Odds: 1.93
Bookmaker: PINNACLE vCash: No
Posted: Feb 09, 2012, 18:57
ok, i know multistaking looks bad. But i actually increased my bet for real. !.79 was very nice value. 1.93 is insane value. YOu have to roll with the punches. I have to increase my stake otherwise i am giving away,
The reason for the odds change can be the fact twente is not well known and still considered a small club. On the other hand people might overrate heracles performance against psv wehre they were outplayed/ Plain luck gave them a point.
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